judge to score these candidates against references.Task: Extract structured claims from documents — entities, atoms (raw facts), assertions (interpretations), and relationships (influence links between claims). Models receive a document and a prompt variant, and must return structured JSON with typed, sourced claims.
Evaluation: An Opus judge scores each candidate (0–100) against a reference extraction on six criteria: entity coverage, atom completeness, assertion quality, relationship accuracy, precision (no hallucinated claims), and source grounding (accurate quotes). Criteria are weighted and combined into an overall score.
Matrix: 5 models × 3 prompt variants × 3 documents = 45 candidates total.
| Model \ Prompt | default | tight | verbose |
|---|---|---|---|
| flash | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| gpt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| grok-fast | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| haiku | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| sonnet | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Model | Avg Claims | Avg Entities | Avg Relationships | Avg Atoms | Avg Assertions | Avg Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flash | 12.1 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| gpt | 46.9 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 29.7 | 13.4 | 0.0 |
| grok-fast | 33.3 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 22.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 |
| haiku | 49.9 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 33.6 | 14.8 | 0.0 |
| sonnet | 47.9 | 12.8 | 4.4 | 31.2 | 12.2 | 0.0 |
| Model | assertion_quality | atom_completeness | entity_coverage | precision | relationship_accuracy | source_grounding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flash | 53.9 | 27.3 | 56.3 | 80.6 | 50.6 | 74.8 |
| gpt | 64.9 | 66.7 | 64.4 | 67.4 | 63.9 | 71.3 |
| grok-fast | 60.0 | 67.7 | 73.7 | 81.1 | 51.9 | 83.0 |
| haiku | 76.7 | 80.0 | 77.9 | 79.2 | 65.1 | 85.6 |
| sonnet | 85.1 | 87.0 | 84.9 | 86.2 | 77.2 | 90.2 |
Candidates scoring <20 are auto-classified by failure type.
| Failure Type | Count | % of Scored |
|---|---|---|
| Task failure (wrong extraction) | 45 | 100% |
```json
{
"entities": [
{
"id": "e1",
"name": "Heliad Equity Partners",
"type": "company"
},
{
"id": "e2",
"name": "Andreas Lange",
"type": "person"
},
{
"id": "e3",
"name": "GreenPark Investments",
"type": "company"
},
{
"id": "e4",
"name": "German small-caps",
"type": "market_segment"
},
{
"id": "e5",
"name": "German financial stocks",
"type": "market_segment"
}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "c1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad Equity Partners has a market cap of 37M Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro per share",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Current Heliad share price is 0.53 Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "current share price 0.53 Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Andreas Lange is in his mid 30s",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Andreas Lange, a mid 30s executive",
"subject": "e2"
},
{
"id": "c7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Management plans to exit almost all current investments in 2009 and 2010",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "management plans to exit almost all of their current investments in 2009 and 2010",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "German accounting regulations preclude Heliad from marking much of its portfolio up to fair market value",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "German accounting regulations preclude Heliad from marking much of its portfolio up to fair market value given the recent vintage of the investments",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c9",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad sold half of its current portfolio to GreenPark Investments at a valuation of 1.32 Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "they sold half of their current portfolio to GreenPark Investments (a $
```json
{
"entities": [
{"id": "heliad", "type": "entity", "name": "Heliad Equity Partners", "context": "German investment firm"},
{"id": "lange", "type": "entity", "name": "Andreas Lange", "context": "CEO/management"},
{"id": "greenpark", "type": "entity", "name": "GreenPark Investments", "context": "London-based investment firm"},
{"id": "german_market", "type": "entity", "name": "German financial stocks market", "context": "market context"}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "c1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Current share price is 0.53 Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "current share price 0.53 Euro",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Management plans to exit almost all current investments in 2009 and 2010",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "management plans to exit almost all of their current investments in 2009 and 2010",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c7",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Actual fair market value is closer to 1.35 Euro per share",
"confidence": 0.6,
"source_quote": "the actual FMV is my opinion is closer to 1.35 Euro",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c8",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Andreas Lange is a mid 30s executive considered a rising star in German private equity",
"confidence": 0.65,
"source_quote": "Andreas Lange, a mid 30s executive who is considered to be a rising star in the German private equity community",
"subject": "lange"
},
{
"id": "c9",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad sold half of current portfolio to GreenPark Investments at valuation of 1.32 Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "they sold half of their current portfolio to GreenP
```json
{
"entities": [
{
"id": "E1",
"type": "entity",
"name": "Heliad Equity Partners",
"description": "Publicly traded German investment firm"
},
{
"id": "E2",
"type": "entity",
"name": "Andreas Lange",
"description": "CEO/Management, mid-30s executive"
},
{
"id": "E3",
"type": "entity",
"name": "GreenPark Investments",
"description": "$2 billion London-based investment firm"
},
{
"id": "E4",
"type": "entity",
"name": "Heliad Portfolio",
"description": "Collection of portfolio investments"
},
{
"id": "E5",
"type": "entity",
"name": "German small-cap market",
"description": "German small-cap equities market"
},
{
"id": "E6",
"type": "entity",
"name": "German financial stocks",
"description": "German financial sector equities"
},
{
"id": "E7",
"type": "entity",
"name": "VIC members",
"description": "Target investment audience"
}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "A1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad Equity Partners has a market cap of 37M Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro",
"subject": "E1",
"direction": "neutral"
},
{
"id": "A2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"subject": "E1",
"direction": "neutral"
},
{
"id": "A3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"confidence": 0.90,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"subject": "E4",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "A4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Management plans to exit almost all current investments in 2009 and 2010",
"confidence": 0.90,
"source_quote": "management plans to exit almost all of their current investments in 2009 and 2010",
"subject": "E2",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "A5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro per share",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro",
"subject": "E1",
"direction": "neutral"
},
{
"id": "A6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Current share price is 0.53 Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "current share price 0.53 Euro",
"subject": "E1",
"direction": "neutral"
},
{
"id": "A7",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Actual fair market value is closer to 1.35 Euro per share",
"confidence": 0.70,
"source_quote": "the actu
```json
{
"entities": [
{"id": "e1", "name": "Heliad Equity Partners", "type": "company"},
{"id": "e2", "name": "Andreas Lange", "type": "person"},
{"id": "e3", "name": "GreenPark Investments", "type": "company"},
{"id": "e4", "name": "VIC members", "type": "entity"},
{"id": "e5", "name": "German private equity market", "type": "concept"},
{"id": "e6", "name": "Heliad portfolio companies", "type": "entity"}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "c1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad Equity Partners has a market cap of 37M Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's current share price is 0.53 Euro",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro (current share price 0.53 Euro)",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro per share",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro (current share price 0.53 Euro)",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad started making investments in 2006, so given the typical private equity 3-5 year time frame there have been few exits to date.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"confidence": 0.90,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "GreenPark Investments is a $2 billion London-based investment firm",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "they sold half of their current portfolio to GreenPark Investments (a $2 billion London-based investment firm)",
"subject": "e3"
},
{
"id": "c7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad sold 50% of each portfolio company to GreenPark at a valuation of 1.32 Euro per share",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "this past summer they sold half of their current portfolio to GreenPark Investments (a $2 billion London-based investment firm) at a valuation of 1.32 Euro.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "The GreenPark transaction results in Heliad receiving approximately 0.65 Euro per share in cash",
"confidence": 0.90,
"source_quote": "Heliad will receive nearly 0.65 per share in cash (minimal tax leakage)",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c9",
"claim_t
```json
{
"entities": [
{"id": "e1", "name": "Heliad Equity Partners", "type": "organization"},
{"id": "e2", "name": "Andreas Lange", "type": "person"},
{"id": "e3", "name": "GreenPark Investments", "type": "organization"},
{"id": "e4", "name": "German accounting regulations", "type": "concept"},
{"id": "e5", "name": "Heliad share price", "type": "financial_metric"},
{"id": "e6", "name": "Heliad NAV", "type": "financial_metric"},
{"id": "e7", "name": "GreenPark transaction", "type": "event"}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "c1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro.",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's current share price is 0.53 Euro.",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "current share price 0.53 Euro",
"subject": "e5"
},
{
"id": "c3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro per share.",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro (current share price 0.53 Euro)",
"subject": "e6"
},
{
"id": "c4",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "The actual fair market value of Heliad's NAV is closer to 1.35 Euro per share.",
"confidence": 0.7,
"source_quote": "the actual FMV is my opinion is closer to 1.35 Euro",
"subject": "e6",
"evidence": ["c3"]
},
{
"id": "c5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad started making investments in 2006.",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%.",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad management plans to exit almost all of their current investments in 2009 and 2010.",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "management plans to exit almost all of their current investments in 2009 and 2010",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Andreas Lange is a mid-30s executive considered a rising star in the German private equity community.",
"confidence": 0.85,
"source_quote": "Heliad is run by Andreas Lange, a mid 30s executive who is considered to be a rising star in the German private equity community",
"subject": "e2"
},
{
"id": "c9",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Germa
```json
{
"entities": [
{
"id": "E1",
"name": "Heliad Equity Partners",
"type": "organization",
"description": "Publicly traded investment firm in Germany"
},
{
"id": "E2",
"name": "Andreas Lange",
"type": "person",
"description": "Mid-30s executive running Heliad Equity Partners"
},
{
"id": "E3",
"name": "GreenPark Investments",
"type": "organization",
"description": "$2 billion London-based investment firm"
},
{
"id": "E4",
"name": "Heliad Share Price",
"type": "metric",
"description": "Current share price of Heliad Equity Partners: 0.53 Euro"
},
{
"id": "E5",
"name": "Heliad NAV (Stated)",
"type": "metric",
"description": "Company's stated net asset value of 1.20 Euro per share"
},
{
"id": "E6",
"name": "Heliad FMV (Estimated)",
"type": "metric",
"description": "Author's estimated fair market value of 1.35 Euro per share"
},
{
"id": "E7",
"name": "Heliad Market Cap",
"type": "metric",
"description": "Market capitalization of 37M Euro"
},
{
"id": "E8",
"name": "Heliad Portfolio",
"type": "asset",
"description": "Heliad's portfolio of private equity investments"
},
{
"id": "E9",
"name": "GreenPark Transaction",
"type": "event",
"description": "Sale of 50% of Heliad's portfolio to GreenPark Investments at 1.32 Euro valuation"
},
{
"id": "E10",
"name": "German Accounting Regulations",
"type": "regulatory_framework",
"description": "Regulations precluding Heliad from marking portfolio to fair market value"
},
{
"id": "E11",
"name": "German Small-Cap Market",
"type": "market",
"description": "German small-cap stock market environment"
},
{
"id": "E12",
"name": "Heliad Cash Position",
"type": "metric",
"description": "Expected net cash per share of approximately 0.65 Euro post-GreenPark transaction"
},
{
"id": "E13",
"name": "GreenPark Receivable",
"type": "asset",
"description": "Outstanding receivable of approximately 12M Euro (0.15 per share) from GreenPark"
},
{
"id": "E14",
"name": "Heliad Total NAV",
"type": "metric",
"description": "Current NAV of Heliad approximately 84M Euro"
},
{
"id": "E15",
"name": "Q308 Earnings Report",
"type": "event",
"description": "Heliad's Q3 2008 financial results report"
},
{
"id": "E16",
"name": "US Roadshow",
"type": "event",
"description": "Heliad's first-ever US investor roadshow planned for late October"
},
{
"id": "E17",
"name": "VIC Members",
"type": "audience",
"description": "Value Investors Club members, the intended audience of this write-up"
},
{
"id": "E1
{
"entities": [
{"id": "e1", "name": "Heliad Equity Partners", "type": "company"},
{"id": "e2", "name": "Andreas Lange", "type": "person"},
{"id": "e3", "name": "GreenPark Investments", "type": "company"},
{"id": "e4", "name": "German Private Equity Community", "type": "concept"}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "c1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad Equity Partners has a market cap of 37M Euro",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "The company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro while share price is 0.53 Euro",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro (current share price 0.53 Euro)",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c3",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Heliad is a great long-term investment under a stellar management team",
"confidence": 0.8,
"direction": "bullish",
"source_quote": "I will make the argument that this is a great long-term investment under a stellar but young management team.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c4",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "There is 100% + upside potential within three months",
"confidence": 0.7,
"direction": "bullish",
"source_quote": "it may be an even better short-term trade with 100% + upside potential within three months.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c6",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "The actual fair market value is closer to 1.35 Euro",
"confidence": 0.65,
"direction": "bullish",
"source_quote": "the actual FMV is my opinion is closer to 1.35 Euro.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad sold 50% of its portfolio to GreenPark Investments at a 1.32 Euro valuation",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "this past summer they sold half of their current portfolio to GreenPark Investments... at a valuation of 1.32 Euro.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad has already received 0.50 Euro per share in cash from the GreenPark sale",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "Of the 0.65 per share in cash to be paid by GreenPark, Heliad mgmt indicates they have received 0.50 already.",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c9",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Heliad employs very limited leverage at the hold co or
```json
{
"entities": [
{
"id": "heliad",
"name": "Heliad Equity Partners",
"type": "Investment Firm"
},
{
"id": "andreas_lange",
"name": "Andreas Lange",
"type": "Person"
},
{
"id": "greenpark",
"name": "GreenPark Investments",
"type": "Investment Firm"
}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "c1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad has a market capitalization of 37 million Euro.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "market cap of 37M Euro",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c2",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Andreas Lange is a rising star in the German private equity community.",
"confidence": 0.8,
"source_quote": "considered to be a rising star in the German private equity community",
"subject": "andreas_lange"
},
{
"id": "c3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's three exits to date generated IRRs exceeding 25%.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c4",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Heliad's actual Fair Market Value is approximately 1.35 Euro per share.",
"confidence": 0.7,
"source_quote": "the actual FMV is my opinion is closer to 1.35 Euro",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad employs very limited leverage at the holding or portfolio company level.",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad employs very limited leverage either at the hold co level or at the portfolio company level",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c6",
"claim_type": "relationship",
"text": "GreenPark Investments purchased 50% of Heliad's portfolio at a valuation of 1.32 Euro per share.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "sold half of their current portfolio to GreenPark Investments... at a valuation of 1.32 Euro",
"subject": "greenpark",
"influences": [
{
"from": "greenpark",
"influence": 0.65,
"slot": "liquidity/cash position"
}
]
},
{
"id": "c7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad has already received 0.50 Euro per share in cash from the GreenPark transaction.",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "Heliad mgmt indicates they have received 0.50 already",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c8",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Heliad is expected to trade at 100%+ upside within three months due to cash realization and US roadshow.",
"confidence": 0.6,
"source_quote": "better short-term trade with 100% + upside potential within three months",
"subject": "heliad"
},
{
"id": "c9",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "German accounting re
```json
{
"entities": [
{ "id": "e1", "name": "Heliad Equity Partners", "type": "organization" },
{ "id": "e2", "name": "Andreas Lange", "type": "person" },
{ "id": "e3", "name": "GreenPark Investments", "type": "organization" },
{ "id": "e4", "name": "German Private Equity Market", "type": "market" },
{ "id": "e5", "name": "VIC Members", "type": "group" }
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "a1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "Heliad Equity Partners is a publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro.",
"subject": "e1",
"direction": "neutral"
},
{
"id": "a2",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Heliad is a great long-term investment under a stellar management team.",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "I will make the argument that this is a great long-term investment under a stellar but young management team.",
"subject": "e1",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "a3",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Heliad represents a high-potential short-term trade with over 100% upside within three months.",
"confidence": 0.85,
"source_quote": "it may be an even better short-term trade with 100% + upside potential within three months.",
"subject": "e1",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "a4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad's CEO Andreas Lange is a rising star in the German PE community.",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad is run by Andreas Lange... considered to be a rising star in the German private equity community",
"subject": "e2",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "a5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Historical exits have generated IRRs exceeding 25%.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "the three exits to date have generated IRRs in excess of 25%.",
"subject": "e1",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "a6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Stated NAV is 1.20 Euro while the share price is 0.53 Euro.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro (current share price 0.53 Euro)",
"subject": "e1",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "a7",
"claim_type": "assertion",
"text": "Actual Fair Market Value (FMV) is approximately 1.35 Euro per share.",
"confidence": 0.8,
"source_quote": "the actual FMV is my opinion is closer to 1.35 Euro.",
"subject": "e1",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "a8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad employs very limited leverage at both the holding and portfolio levels.",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "Heliad employ
```json
{
"entities": [
{"id": "e1", "name": "Heliad Equity Partners", "type": "company"},
{"id": "e2", "name": "Andreas Lange", "type": "person"},
{"id": "e3", "name": "GreenPark Investments", "type": "company"},
{"id": "e4", "name": "German private equity community", "type": "group"}
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "c1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "market cap of 37M Euro",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "publicly traded investment firm in Germany with a market cap of 37M Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "current share price 0.53 Euro",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "current share price 0.53 Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "the company's stated net asset value is 1.20 Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "sold half of their current portfolio to GreenPark Investments at a valuation of 1.32 Euro",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "they sold half of their current portfolio to GreenPark Investments (a $2 billion London-based investment firm) at a valuation of 1.32 Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad will receive nearly 0.65 per share in cash",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "This means Heliad will receive nearly 0.65 per share in cash (minimal tax leakage)",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "received 0.50 already",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "Of the 0.65 per share in cash to be paid by GreenPark, Heliad mgmt indicates they have received 0.50 already",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "remaining 0.15 will be a receivable",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "The remaining 0.15 will be a receivable on Heliad’s balance sheet",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "NAV of Heliad is currently 84M Euro",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "the NAV of Heliad is currently 84M Euro which means GreenPark’s portion is 42M Euro",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c9",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "GreenPark Investments is a $2 billion London-based investment firm",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "GreenPark Investments (a $2 billion London-based investment firm)",
"subject": "e3"
},
{
"id": "c10",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "Heliad started making investments in 2006",
"subject": "e1"
},
{
"id": "c
```json
{
"entities": [
"ARTNA",
"Delaware",
"New Castle county",
"Sussex county",
"Pennsylvania (PA)",
"Maryland (MD)",
"DEPSC",
"MSEX",
"YORW",
"Tidewater Utilities",
"Allen Harim",
"Chester Water Authority",
"Taylor family",
"Dian Taylor",
"Nicki Taylor"
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA services New Castle and Sussex counties in Delaware",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "ARTNA is a small cap water & wastewater utility company in Delaware servicing New Castle and Sussex counties.",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Since 2014, ARTNA has increased corporate ROE from 7.7% to 9.5%",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "Since 2014, ARTNA has maintained a conservative balance sheet, increased corporate ROE from 7.7% to 9.5%",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA increased TBV/share at a 4% CAGR",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "increased TBV/share at a 4% CAGR",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA grown EPS at an 8% CAGR",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "grown EPS at an 8% CAGR",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA pays a dividend equal to ~60% of earnings",
"confidence": 0.95,
"source_quote": "paying a dividend equal to ~60% of earnings",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA trades at ~20x LTM P/E",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "~20x LTM P/E",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA has 3% dividend yield",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "3% dividend yield",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA trades at ~2.0x TBV",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "~2.0x TBV",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "9",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "95% of Corporate EBITDA generated by regulated side",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "95% of Corporate EBITDA is generated by the regulated side of the business.",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "10",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Regulated revenue ~93% water sales and ~7% wastewater",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "Regulated revenue is ~93% water sales and ~7% wastewater treatment and disposal.",
"subject": "ARTNA"
},
{
"id": "11",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Regulated business allowed ROE of ~9.75%",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "The regulated business has an allowed ROE of ~9.75%",
```json
{
"entities": [
"ARTNA",
"Delaware",
"New Castle County",
"Sussex County",
"Pennsylvania (PA)",
"Maryland (MD)",
"DEPSC",
"Philadelphia",
"MSEX",
"YORW",
"Chester Water Authority",
"Allen Harim",
"Taylor family",
"Dian Taylor",
"Nicki Taylor",
"Tidewater Utilities",
"ARTNB",
"ARTNA Class A shares",
"Regulated water utility business",
"Unregulated businesses",
"SLP plans",
"Water sales revenue",
"Wastewater treatment",
"Corporate ROE",
"TBV/share",
"EPS",
"Dividend",
"LTM P/E",
"Liquidity"
],
"claims": [
{
"id": "atom1",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA is a small cap water & wastewater utility company in Delaware servicing New Castle and Sussex counties.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "ARTNA is a small cap water & wastewater utility company in Delaware servicing New Castle and Sussex counties.",
"subject": "ARTNA",
"direction": "neutral"
},
{
"id": "atom2",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "One of the lowest risk 9% IRR's with reasonable probability of 20%+ IRR over next two years.",
"confidence": 0.9,
"source_quote": "one of the lowest risk 9% IRR's with a reasonable probability of 20%+ IRR over the next two years that I am aware of.",
"subject": "ARTNA",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "atom3",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Since 2014, ARTNA has maintained conservative balance sheet.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "Since 2014, ARTNA has maintained a conservative balance sheet",
"subject": "ARTNA",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "atom4",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Corporate ROE increased from 7.7% to 9.5%.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "increased corporate ROE from 7.7% to 9.5%",
"subject": "Corporate ROE",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "atom5",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "TBV/share increased at 4% CAGR.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "increased TBV/share at a 4% CAGR",
"subject": "TBV/share",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "atom6",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "EPS grown at 8% CAGR while paying dividend equal to ~60% of earnings.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "grown EPS at an 8% CAGR while paying a dividend equal to ~60% of earnings.",
"subject": "EPS",
"direction": "bullish"
},
{
"id": "atom7",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "ARTNA trades at ~20x LTM P/E; 3% dividend yield; ~2.0x TBV.",
"confidence": 1.0,
"source_quote": "~20x LTM P/E; 3% dividend yield; ~2.0x TBV",
"subject": "ARTNA",
"direction": "neutral"
},
{
"id": "atom8",
"claim_type": "atom",
"text": "Trades at historically wide discount to c
{"entities":[{"id":"e1","name":"ARTNA","type":"company"},{"id":"e2","name":"Artesian","type":"company"},{"id":"e3","name":"Delaware Public Service Commission","type":"regulator"},{"id":"e4","name":"New Castle County","type":"place"},{"id":"e5","name":"Sussex County","type":"place"},{"id":"e6","name":"Pennsylvania","type":"place"},{"id":"e7","name":"Maryland","type":"place"},{"id":"e8","name":"Philadelphia","type":"place"},{"id":"e9","name":"MSEX","type":"company"},{"id":"e10","name":"YORW","type":"company"},{"id":"e11","name":"Tidewater Utilities","type":"company"},{"id":"e12","name":"Allen Harim","type":"company"},{"id":"e13","name":"Chester Water Authority","type":"company"},{"id":"e14","name":"Taylor family","type":"group"},{"id":"e15","name":"Dian Taylor","type":"person"},{"id":"e16","name":"Nicki Taylor","type":"person"},{"id":"e17","name":"Covid-19","type":"event"},{"id":"e18","name":"TCJA corporate tax cut","type":"policy"},{"id":"e19","name":"Delaware","type":"place"}],"claims":[{"id":"c1","claim_type":"atom","text":"ARTNA is a small cap water and wastewater utility company in Delaware servicing New Castle and Sussex counties.","confidence":0.99,"source_quote":"ARTNA is a small cap water & wastewater utility company in Delaware servicing New Castle and Sussex counties.","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c2","claim_type":"assertion","text":"ARTNA is one of the lowest risk 9% IRR opportunities the author is aware of, with a reasonable probability of 20%+ IRR over the next two years.","confidence":0.84,"direction":"bullish","source_quote":"It is one of the lowest risk 9% IRR’s with a reasonable probability of 20%+ IRR over the next two years that I am aware of.","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c3","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA has maintained a conservative balance sheet.","confidence":0.92,"source_quote":"Since 2014, ARTNA has maintained a conservative balance sheet","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c4","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA increased corporate ROE from 7.7% to 9.5%.","confidence":0.97,"source_quote":"increased corporate ROE from 7.7% to 9.5%","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c5","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA increased TBV per share at a 4% CAGR.","confidence":0.97,"source_quote":"increased TBV/share at a 4% CAGR","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c6","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA grew EPS at an 8% CAGR while paying a dividend equal to about 60% of earnings.","confidence":0.97,"source_quote":"grown EPS at an 8% CAGR while paying a dividend equal to ~60% of earnings","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c7","claim_type":"assertion","text":"ARTNA remains reasonably priced given the stability and growth of the business.","confidence":0.88,"direction":"bullish","source_quote":"Despite these accomplishments, ARTNA remains reasonably priced given the stability and growth of the business (~20x LTM P/E; 3% dividend yield; ~2.0x TBV)","subject":"e1","evidence":["c4","c5","c6","c8","c9","c10"]},{"id":"c8","claim_type":"atom","text":"ARTNA trade
{"entities":[{"id":"e1","name":"ARTNA","type":"company"},{"id":"e2","name":"Delaware Public Service Commission","type":"regulator"},{"id":"e3","name":"New Castle County","type":"region"},{"id":"e4","name":"Sussex County","type":"region"},{"id":"e5","name":"MSEX","type":"company"},{"id":"e6","name":"YORW","type":"company"},{"id":"e7","name":"Allen Harim","type":"company"},{"id":"e8","name":"Chester Water Authority","type":"organization"},{"id":"e9","name":"Taylor family","type":"group"},{"id":"e10","name":"Dian Taylor","type":"person"},{"id":"e11","name":"Nicki Taylor","type":"person"},{"id":"e12","name":"ARTNB","type":"share_class"},{"id":"e13","name":"ARTNA Class A shares","type":"share_class"}],"claims":[{"id":"c1","claim_type":"atom","text":"ARTNA is a small cap water and wastewater utility company in Delaware servicing New Castle and Sussex counties.","confidence":0.99,"source_quote":"ARTNA is a small cap water & wastewater utility company in Delaware servicing New Castle and Sussex counties.","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c2","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA has maintained a conservative balance sheet.","confidence":0.91,"source_quote":"Since 2014, ARTNA has maintained a conservative balance sheet","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c3","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA increased corporate ROE from 7.7% to 9.5%.","confidence":0.98,"source_quote":"increased corporate ROE from 7.7% to 9.5%","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c4","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA increased TBV per share at a 4% CAGR.","confidence":0.97,"source_quote":"increased TBV/share at a 4% CAGR","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c5","claim_type":"atom","text":"Since 2014, ARTNA grew EPS at an 8% CAGR while paying a dividend equal to about 60% of earnings.","confidence":0.97,"source_quote":"grown EPS at an 8% CAGR while paying a dividend equal to ~60% of earnings","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c6","claim_type":"atom","text":"ARTNA trades at about 20x LTM P/E, with a 3% dividend yield and about 2.0x TBV.","confidence":0.97,"source_quote":"(~20x LTM P/E; 3% dividend yield; ~2.0x TBV)","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c7","claim_type":"atom","text":"Liquidity in ARTNA is about $900k per day.","confidence":0.96,"source_quote":"Liquidity is ~$900k/day.","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c8","claim_type":"atom","text":"The vast majority of ARTNA's assets are in Delaware and are regulated by the DEPSC.","confidence":0.98,"source_quote":"The vast majority of ARTNA’s assets are in the state of Delaware and are regulated by the DEPSC.","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c9","claim_type":"atom","text":"95% of ARTNA corporate EBITDA is generated by the regulated side of the business.","confidence":0.99,"source_quote":"95% of Corporate EBITDA is generated by the regulated side of the business.","subject":"e1"},{"id":"c10","claim_type":"atom","text":"ARTNA's regulated revenue is about 93% water sales and about 7% wastewater treatment and disposal.","confidence":0.99,"source_quote":"Regulated revenue is ~93% water sales and ~7% was
ERROR:
Generated 20260311_220047 — 45 candidates